Math Modelling

Important Topics

  • Routh Hurwitz Test
  • Matrix of Variation/Jacobian of dx/dt (and dy/dt)
  • Stability of solution
    • Local Stability (Matrix of Variation) Eigenvalues
      • Positive Definate : Unstable
      • Negative Definate : Local AS
      • Imaginary Eigenvalues: Spiral
    • Global Stability (Appropriate Lyaponov Function)
      • Test stability by Lyapunov Funcn or any other (V) has derivative negative definate

$$V(x) = x - x^* - x^* ln(\frac{x}{x^*}) \frac{k_1}{2}(T- T^*)^2 + \frac{k_2}{2}(U-U^*)^2$$

$$\frac{dV}{dt} = \frac{\dot{x}}{x}( x - x^*) + other$$

  • Quick Finding of Eigenvalues (see Prerequisites)
  • Complex Eigenvalues and Calculation of Spiral
  • Linearization of Solution
  • Logistic regression Model $$ \frac{dx}{dt} = rx(1 - \frac{x}{k})$$
  • Persistance / Permanance of Solution
  • Picard-Landlof Theorem - Existence of Solution
  • Sylvester’s Criteria - b^2 - 4ac conditions
  • Hamiltonian $$ H(x, t, u, \lambda) = g*{divident}(x, t, u) + \lambda f*{capital\ assets}(x, t, u) $$
  • Pontrayagin’s Maximum Principle $$ \frac{d\lambda}{dt} = -\frac{dH}{dx}$$
  • Bang-Bang and Singular Control (Control Theory)
  • De Carte’s Rule of Sign
  • Dulac Bendixson Criteria for periodicity of soln
  • Bionic Equilibrium Conditions (for Optimal Harvesting)
  • Hopf Bifurcation: The point where behavior of system stability changes. Opposite stability before and after critical value.
  • Lebesgue Cycle Stability
  • Basic Reproduction No.
  • LimSup Method for showing boundedness
  • Standard Comparison Theorem, Amax > Bmin, well-posedness …

Models

  1. Malthusian Growth Model $$ dx/dt = rx$$
  2. Logistic Growth Model (inter-specific interference)
  3. Resource-Consumer and similar models -
    • Prey-Predator Model (or Resource Consumer)
      • specialized prey-predator
      • generalized prey-predator
    • Competetive Model
    • Cooperation Model
  4. 3 Species Food Chain Model (Logistic Growth with interspecie interface)
  5. Opimal Harvesting (fish) Model - Max Sustainable Yield
  6. Migration of Fishes Model
  7. Pollution Toxicant Models-
    • 2D Model
    • 3D Model - Uptake of Conc (POST-Midsem)
  8. Susceptible-Infected and variant models
    • SI Model
    • SIS Model(with immunity)
    • SIR Model(with complete cure forever)
    • SEIR Model(Both Exposed and Recovery types)

Analysis of Solution

  • Boundedness
  • Positivity and Solution Space $\Omega$
  • Persistance of Solution (Show Lower Bound)
  • Periodicity or not (Dulac Bendixson Criteria)
  • Equilibrium Points
  • Local Stability Analysis
    • Linearize solution and then find values OR…
    • Use generalized matrix of variation and plug in values
  • Global Stability Analysis
    • Choose Lyapanov Function and terms based on Logistic Growth or not
    • Differentiate and show Negative Definate
    • Use Sylvester’s Criteria and compare terms using Routh-Hurwitz Criteria
    • Routh Array to show stability

Other Analysis Techniques

  • Rate $\dot{r}$ for growth and $\dot{\theta}$ for clockwise/anticlockwise in spirals
  • Lebesgue Cycle stability in spirals
  • Critical points in Hopf Bifurcation and stability chart
  • Basic Reproduction Number Calculation

Sample Model to check equilibrium points

graph TD A[Formulate the Rate Diffn Equations] --> AB AB[ Find Omega. Check if bounded with limsup and show positive also. Check Persistance/Periodicity] --> B B[Find equilibrium points where rate = 0] --> C C[Local Stability. Get matrix of variation/Jacobian at these points] --> D C --> E[Get Char Eqn with Eigenvalue] E --> F[Use Routh Hurwitz to get roots' sign] F --> G[From sign of eigenvalues determine stability of Local Solution] D[Get Eigenvalues of the matrix of variation] --> G G --> H H[Global Stability. Use Lyapunov function variants Derivative] --> I[Check if negative definate by adding/subtracting]

Harvesting Model Sample Flow

Steps for Solving

  1. Formulate the Rate Diffn Equations
  2. Find the equilibrium points and conditions
  3. Plug x* value in harvesting rate equation qEx
  4. Get max E by finding minima at x* and put the value into harvesting rate

For optimal harvesting policy,

  1. Find hamiltonian with - f as net revenue in continuous time stream - g as rate of change of assets $$ H = e^{-\delta t}(pqx-c)E + \lambda_1 \frac{dx}{dt} +\lambda_2 \frac{dy}{dt}$$
  2. Find minima of H wrt. E .Get switching func and equate to 0 for singular control
  3. Apply Pontrayagin’s Max Principle Condition and use with step 6.
  4. Find discount value and check notes of these points

Bionic Equilibrium is value of E at $$\dot{x} = \dot{y} = 0$$


SIR Model

Steps for Solving,

  1. Show Bounded by taking sum of population(N) and finding LimSupN(t) will be const
  2. Take S(t) and with Comparison Theorem, show >=0
  3. Use Dulac Bendixson with H = 1/SI, and show no sign change so not periodic
  4. Find Equilibrium Points (approx E*) with reproduction no. ‘R’
  5. Matrix of Variation with ‘R’ cases
  6. Lyapunov Function and one term will not allow sylvester’s criteria
  7. Choose C = S* to get, $$ \dot{V} = -\beta I (S - S^*) -\beta S^* (I-I^*)( S - S^* ) < 0 $$

Other Useful Prerequisites

  • Green’s Thm

  • Stoke’s Thm

  • Gauss Divergent Thm

  • Finding Eigenvalues fast $$ \lambda^2 - Tr(A)\lambda + Det(A) $$ Trace is sum of diagonal entries

  • Routh Hurwitz Criteria See Routh Hurwitz Test - Conditions - All positive coeff always - All minors must be positive - 2nd Degree: no more conditions - 3rd Degree a1*a2 - a3*a0 > 0 (for 3 degree see below)

    $$ Routh\ Array = \begin{bmatrix} a_{N} & - a_{N-2} \ a_{N-1} & a_{N-3} \ \end{bmatrix} $$

  • Another view to understand Routh Hurwitz Graphical

    • Background
      • If one sign different => one is positive. Hence unstable.
      • If all negative => same as all positive coeff

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